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gold and silver stock market analysisGold's One Weakness
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David Vaughn's commentaries about gold market:
  » Stay The Course!
  » Natural Resources & Wealth
  » Rothschild & Gold
  » What Next?
  » Gold Will Triumph!
  » Gold Reaches New Highs!
  » Get on the train! - silver is   getting hot.
  » Walmart & Gold
  » The Power of Passion - Gold
  » Asia will Drive Gold
  » Free Trade or Fair Trade?
  » World War III & Gold
  » Gold`s One Weakness
  » Why Gold?
  » Gold`s next move
  » Is gold finished?
  » Gold still glitters?
  » What is gold up to?
  » Is gold entering new era?
  » How high will gold go in 2004?
  » The Biltmore House & Gold
  » When Do We Buy Gold Stocks?
  » Gold Closes Above 400!
  » Gold Investors are Getting   Rich!!!
  » Why Gold Is Going Higher
  » Gold & Investing
  » How Do We Minimize Risk?
  » When Do We Buy Gold   Stocks?
  » How do I profit from gold?
  » Why would gold stocks be the best investment today?





From the mail
Hi David
...I have done much better with my stocks since I started getting your Gold Letters. I am having so much fun now.
Dear David:
I love you, I love you, I love you. I listened to your advice about selling when my gold stocks DOUBLED & I have booked $92,000 of profits this year!
Thank you for your timely advice!
Sincerely,
Robert K. DiNello
Dear David:
...These fundamental truths have made a difference in my life. So far this
year I have booked profits of $150,525.00 and have another $45,000.00 in
unrealized profits! I could not have done this without your timely advice.
THANK YOU!
RKD
...I have taken your advice and profited handsomely... Excellent research! ...keep up the good work.
SW
Dear David,
...just wanted to write to you to say “thank you” for all of the wonderful writing and analysis you do about the gold market. I highly regard you and your work for the clear and concise information that you provide. ...
...WOULD LIKE TO INVITE YOU TO STOP BY MY OFFICE THE NEXT TIME YOU ARE IN WASHIGTON. ...
Very sincerely,
Office of Senator XXXX
Washington DC
David:
Just thought I would drop you a line to say what a pleasure it is to
read your essays. They are well written and a great help when making
investment decisions. Keep up the good work. You are a gifted writer.
Best Regards,
Rich

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gold letter alert - content   What is Gold Up to?
            Jan 09 2004

“Gold Set For Massive 2004 Gains, Daniel Thorpe, Mineweb.com, 1-6-2004
Johannesburg – Gold may be headed as high as $600/oz by the end of the year as the dollar sustains its current weakness & the market continues to push the metal higher in wild, uncertain market conditions.”

And do we want to hear further words of encouragement about this present gold bull market?

“…THE BULL TREND SHOULD BE VIEWED IN TERMS OF YEARS, NOT MONTHS…”

But yet, as gold has ascended above 400 an ounce, I have witnessed lethargy among gold equity investors as if they were hit with a bright flashlight on a cold dark night with no star light nor moon light. The gold stocks really have not even begun to reflect gold’s more favorable rise above the 400 mark.

Yes, this year, 2004, should be very positive for gold investors.

And we turn now to USA Today to see headline articles about “gold.”

USA Today, Barbara Haenbaugh, 1-6-2004 “Washington – Prices for gold, silver, platinum & other metals SOARED Monday as investors yanked their money out of the falling dollar & put it in metals.”

“Monday, the dollar set a RECORD low at $1.27 per euro & weakened against the yen despite attempts by the Bank of Japan to intervene…”

And while many analysts keep waiting for the dollars drop to stop suddenly & for gold to fall back to pre 300 dollar an ounce prices I personally believe the strength we are seeing in gold is part of a long term pattern & not merely a short term rally. Yes, we have lived 20 years with a serious bear market in gold & it is very difficult for investors to accept the possibility that now we may be in an over all bull market for gold for the next 20 years.

Will the next 20 years see a continued bull market in the gold price?

Who knows!!! But I am sure of the following. And what I know with certainty is that the over all fundamentals continue to look very positive for gold & that for the next few years these are the facts we as investors should be concentrating on.

Listen to the following email I received from a reader:

David,

There is no-way I would want to give away my stocks at these cheap prices. …

So what would I gain to take a profit? …

Sincerely,

Mike

Though Mike’s email message was in a friendly tone this type of message frightens me. Now what did Mike just say that caused me to swallow my chewing gum? Let’s read it again.

“SO WHAT WOULD I GAIN TO TAKE A PROFIT?”

Mike represents the type of investor who does not have a buy & sell strategy, but is merely waiting for that imaginary profit someday where he in his leisure can sell his profits & become rich. Mike represents the typical investor who does not understand that it is the act of trading where by money is made & not merely watching your portfolio grow in your monthly statement.

This type of investor probably will never make a single dime off of his gold stocks & do you know why?

He or she looks at these stock valuations as “money in the bank” which it is definitely not. You only have made an actual profit on the day you sell a stock issue & place the proceeds in your bank account or under your mattress.

Mike might be a nice guy, but I sense he does not have an adequate & realistic sell strategy & he will probably still be holding on to his gold stocks loooong after this gold bull is over some day & after the stocks have reached their cyclical peak.

The same thing happened during the Tech Bull Market during the late 90s & I watched so many investors with portfolios that grew to over 1 million dollars, but the investors never sold even after these stocks reached their peak & began their long slide back down.

Gold stocks are like “burning matches” (master gold analyst Doug Casey preaches this) & we must have not only a “buy” strategy, but also a preconceived plan of when & at what percentage gain we are going to sell.

Let me give a quick recommendation here for Doug Casey. Doug is a very talented & knowledgeable analyst who has been around the markets for quite some time & is definitely worth listening to.

And how about another tidbit of economic data that is severely shaping the over all markets & gold itself? Consumer debt continues to dangerously rise along with the US national debt. And understand that this problem is a ticking time bomb & it will not go away until it is dealt with.

AND IT IS BECAUSE THE WORLD RECOGNIZES THIS PROBLEM OF CONSUMER & US NATIONAL DEBT THAT THE US DOLLAR CONTINUES TO PLUMMET.

Yes, US consumers are working very hard at ignoring this plunging dollar, but I guarantee you that the rest of the world & foreign investors are not ignoring the falling dollar. And this is why the rest of the world is selling their US dollars & buying gold.

I guess my question to you is: “Are you investing now in gold related investments?”

Let’s ask ourselves again. Why is gold the best investment for the 21st Century?

DOLLAR HITS RECORD LOW VS EURO, YAHOO FINANCE, DANIEL BASES, 1-6-2004

“Overall, there are very few technical or policy barriers to limit the dollars fall right now,” said Patrick Brodie, chief dealer at SMBC in New York.” …

“I think this move is beginning to feed on itself. The dollar is falling because it’s falling,” said Marc Chandler, chief currency strategist at HSBC in New York.

And as the dollar FALLS what correspondingly goes up?

GOLD!!!

And which represents the one best gold stock to invest in?

There is no one perfect gold stock play & it is safer & more conservative to invest in numerous gold plays & to make your money by averaging & taking your winnings as a percentage as they grow.

It is best to review many different & new gold projects & properties. Making money in gold stocks involves the act of trading & investing in many different gold plays.
There are literally thousands of gold & silver mining companies out there in the market place competing for your investment dollars. Some of these companies represent good speculations & many do not.
Gold Letter Alert emails to subscribers reviews on new & different gold & silver company opportunities. Also, all past issues are made available to all subscribers for free via a password & login.
And every company reviewed is charted & kept track of within a portfolio. And at present over 41 different gold & silver companies have been reviewed & are up collectively an average of over 79% (1-7-2004).
You, the investor, ultimately decide which prospect meets your personal objectives. But it is Gold Letter’s goal to provide subscribers with respectable worthwhile candidates from which to choose.
And for a limited time only your subscription is a one time payment that lasts for LIFE!!!

AT GOLD LETTER WE BELIEVE IN GOD, FAMILY & COUNTRY.

Let me share one more thing before I close.

I write about other things just so readers can be reminded that making money & gold are not the most important things. Upon finishing up this article I received word that my mother was just diagnosed with pancreatic cancer this morning & probably only around 30 days or so were her only days remaining. And when I began writing this article earlier this week she was fine & I wished her a happy birthday on Monday.

We will not take our wealth to the grave with us, but we can have hope in Jesus Christ & eternal life if we know Him as our savior.

David N. Vaughn
Gold Letter, Inc.



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Author/publisher does NOT trade stock of the company being followed for 30 days BEFORE & 30 days AFTER an article is published. It is the author/publisher’s goal of this letter that the reader may have his or her interest piqued in such a manner that will compel the individual to do their own further diligent research on the topic, issue or company discussed herein. All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the information & data source are beyond the author’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Because of the ever-changing nature of information & statistics the author/publisher strongly encourages the reader to communicate directly with the company and/or with their personal investment advisor to obtain up to date information. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise. Authors of articles or special reports may be compensated for their services. Neither the information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified financial advisor & is not acting as such in this publication. Gold Letter, Inc. is not a registered financial advisory. Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


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